Derek Taylor, our very own foreign exchange expert, is recommending that Travel Money Club members buying US Dollars this week should target their “Forward Orders” at $1.2900 for a great deal.
The “Forward Order” feature is exclusive to Travel Money Club and allows members to automatically buy currency when their target exchange rate is reached. They simply tell the us what currency to buy, what exchange rate to buy at, and the payment card to use. Then if and when the target exchange rate is reached, we automatically execute the order and deliver next business day* (for orders completed by 1pm). As it all happens in the blink of an eye, even if your target rate is only achieved for a couple of minutes, we will still execute your order! Here we explain the latest news about buying US Dollars.
Derek told us:
We are looking at a daily chart for GBP/USD as opposed to our normal 4 hourly chart. Stepping back and looking at the longer term and wider view is often a good idea.
The decline of Sterling during May is evident, and caused by uncertainty over Brexit and indeed over the government in the UK. Now we are looking for a new Prime Minister.
The wider global scene is still dominated by the Trade Wars between the US and China. Neither side giving way and hitting each other with tit-for-tat sanctions and tariffs.
Interest rates have come back into focus. Just a month ago US rates were still seen to be moving higher, but now the mood has turned that opinion around and the next moves will be definitely lower. The lack of growth in Europe has meant that the ECB will continue its low interest rate policy. This really shows itself in the rise in EUR/USD, but also has helped a small rally in GBP/USD.
We are leaving our current range of GBP/USD 1.2600-1.2900 unchanged. A base at 1.2600 has formed, at least for now.
Events for the remainder of the week to watch out for:
Monday 10th June – 9.30am UK Trade balance. Worse than expected at -£4.59b
Tuesday 11th June – 9.30am UK Unemployment. 1.30pm US producer prices.
Wednesday 12th June – 1.30pm US Inflation data (CPI).
Thursday 13th June – 10.00am EU Industrial Production. 1.30pm US Jobless claims
Friday 14th June – 1.30pm US Retail Sales.
Suggested level to buy holiday US Dollars.
We are anticipating a range for GBP/USD of 1.2600-2900. Buying holiday dollars above 1.2700 looks good. With Sterling volatility, it makes sense to take advantage of rate spikes, so try our rate tracker and forward order facilities to be sure of not missing out.
Remember, breaking news moves markets!
ABOUT DEREK TAYLOR
Derek is Director and Co-Founder of the Travel Money Club, as well as CEO of Taylor Associates (International) Ltd, one of the City of London’s foremost financial and market training organisations. Taylor Associates was established in 1993, specializing in derivatives, capital markets, risk and treasury training. He has personally trained in banks, brokers, asset managers, hedge funds and corporations both in the UK and overseas.
Derek’s career started in Midland Bank Group Treasury working across a broad product range including Money Markets, Foreign Exchange, Equity and Fixed income. He rose to the level of senior Director, before moving to Lehman Brothers, and then Bank of America working both in London and NY.
Derek has primarily worked as a trader, both inter-bank and proprietary, but has also spent some years as an inter-bank broker, running desks at two of the world’s leading brokerage houses, Tullett Prebon and Harlow Butler Savage (now part of the ICAP group).
Derek is a frequent speaker on Financial Markets subjects all over the World, and is an Associate of the Chartered Institute of Bankers (ACIB), a member of the Forex Association (ACI), and a member of the Society of Technical Analysts (MSTA).
* Please note that a small number of currencies are not available for next business day delivery. The actual delivery date will be clearly displayed in your order acknowledgement.
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Derek Taylor, our very own foreign exchange expert, is recommending that Travel Money Club members buying Euros this week should target their “Forward Orders” at €1.1600 for a great deal.